Sept/Oct 2008
Joan Gilles - Wealth Building Newsletter
Building a bridge to your dreams and peace of mind
In This Issue
Investment Winter
Six Tips
Retirement Income Policy Brief
Did you know?
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Dear Joan, 
How many of you have been afraid to open your investments or 401K statements because it's too painful? In the last couple weeks we've had sick stomachs from the stock market ride. 
 
I hear you!  Actually, I'd love to hear from more of you.  Sometimes just the act of verbally expressing your feelings about what's happening can be a good thing.  Call me.
 
I understand what you're going through.  I hear in people's voices that they are worried.  I know that you are feeling anxious.  Thank you to my friend Linda who reminded me that I'm in this business to help people and bring them some peace of mind.
 
You are not alone and what you are feeling is very normal.  It's scary - especially when all you hear is gloom and doom on the news.  Don't you just want to turn it off sometimes?  I do.
 
Let's try to re-frame the context a little bit here.  What are your long-term goals?  Since your goals haven't changed (for example, a comfortable retirement).  How do we take in this short-term "stuff" (for lack of a better word I can use in print) that is happening and fit it into your long-term goals? 
 
The most important thing I can do today is to give you some practical information to put things in perspective.  Let's look for positive things we CAN do to make it better.
 
Hugs (because I know some of you need one)!
Perspective
Investment Winter
 gilles small 7-08
Think of this time as investment winter.  It's cold, the snow is flying and you really don't want to go outside.   Remember that it will warm up again before too long. 
 
What we are going through not unprecedented.  The market has been in similar predicaments before.   Here are some interesting factoids that may help you gain some perspective on our current situation.
 
There have been at least 10 BEAR markets for the S&P 500 index since 1957 (a bear market is defined as a drop of at least 20%) including the current decline.  For those of you who want/need a refresher, the S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the US stock market.  Of the 9 previous bear markets, all eventually recovered and reached a new closing high. 
 
Let's look at another index:  DJIA ("The DOW").  The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted average of 30 actively traded, blue chip stocks, primarily industrials.  The DJIA was trading around the 450 mark in 1957.  Today, it is trading over 10,000.  
 
We haven't had a day like BLACK MONDAY of 1987 when the S&P 500 fell 20.5% on Monday 10/19/87 - the largest single day drop in the history of the index.   Interestingly the market was trading in positive territory (up 2%)  for the 1987 calendar year in spite of this one day.  The DJIA was trading at 1,939 on December 31, 1987. 
 
RS Investments (New York, NY)  says:  From 1963 to 1993 there were 7802 trading days.   If an investor missed the top 40 days he/she would see their average annual return drop from nearly 12% to just over 7%.  On a $10,000 investment this is the difference between accruing $80,000 and accruing $233,000.  Thanks to RS Investments for pointing out why it pays to stay invested.
 
 
Six Tips to Weather the Winter
Your "to do" list
Diversification:  Don't have all your eggs in one basket.  Let's schedule a meeting to review your investment diversification and re-allocate as necessary and prudent.  Diversification doesn't guarantee a profit or protect against loss.
 
Think Long Term:  Make a list of your top 5 financial goals/intentions.  Under each, state 3 reasons to stay in the market to achieve that goal/intention.  Need help?
 
Learn More:  I just read the other day (sorry, but I can't remember where) that 62% of Americans do not feel they know enough about investing.  Seek out new learning opportunities, books & classes.  I'm always excited to hear about what you've learned and help you put that in context of your situation.
 
Cut Expenses:  Americans spend $1.5 billion a day at restaurants and bars (source:  National Restaurant Association).   What can you do conserve the financial resources you have?  Think of it as the reuse and recycling of your money.  Go green (pun intended). 
 
Observe:  Notice what is happening in the market.  The time will come, and soon I hope, to buy low.  Think about what signs will tell you personally that a rally has started?  What's will tell you that a shift in momentum has occurred?  Share those signs with me and I'll help you watch for them.  Then, let's talk.
 
Correction of Protection: Is the moat around your castle big enough?  In other words: are you protecting the assets you've worked so hard to build?
  • Do you have the correct kinds of liability protection (personal and business) so no one can take the assets you have? 
  • How about disability insurance - how much of your income is replaced after tax? 
  • Are your wills, trusts and ownership agreements current? 
  • If you were run over by the proverbial "Mack Truck", would your family be able to pay the debts and provide income even in today's investment environment? 

If you can't answer these questions, then it's time for a protection review.  Perhaps we need to add some boiling oil to the tops of the caste walls or alligators to the water in the moat. 

 
Retirement Income Policy Brief
"Imagine sitting down on the day of your retirement to plan your financial future.  You know what your annual expenses have been and you want to maintain your current standard of living.  So, you consult a recent mortality table and find that if you've made it to your 65th birthday, you can expect to live to 85 years old.  You perform a little calculation and find that, together with your Social Security monthly payments, you have just enough savings to maintain your current standard of living and spend all of your savings and future expected earning by the time you die at the age of 85.  But, what if you live longer?  Will you be reduced to eking out an existence on Social Security alone?  Where will the additional money come from?  What if future investment returns are not what you anticipated at the start of your retirement?  These questions are increasingly urgent in America today, as forces are combing to make planning for outliving your resources more important than it has been in the past.  Old rules of thumb for spending your assets in retirement, call decumulation, need to be reconsidered"
 
So starts the "white paper" written by Wharton Financial Institution at The University of Pennsylvania.  It sure made me sit up and take notice.  Authors David F. Babbel and Craig B. Merrill outline the problems that retirees will encounter and one possible solution - annuitization. 
 
Please contact me at jmgilles@pressenter.com for your copy.  Please put Wharton White Paper in the subject line.

Your Price: $0   
Did you know?
 
George Bernard Shaw said: "If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion".
 
I can offer disability income replacement insurance through  almost all the major insurance companies.  I have also partnered with Lori Lance of Armbruster Employee Benefits to offer group long-term and short-term disability insurance.
 
You can buy Certificates of Deposit through me.
 
I can offer inflation protected treasury bonds called TIPS or mutual funds that invest in TIPS.
 
Yes, I thought you'd want to know. 
 
If you know someone who is upset by the market gyrations and is looking for a new approach, please forward a copy of this newsletter to them. 
 
Sincerely,
 

Joan
Joan Gilles - Wealth Building Strategist to the Entrepreneur
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Joan Gilles - Financial Coach | Wealth Building Strategist to the Entrepreneur | 8740 Pheasant Run Rd | Woodbury | MN | 55125